Option chain volume analysis

Option chain volume analysis

Option chain volume analysis

Ask yourself why exchange doesn't provide you the volume data of options why they try to keep this data secret and nobody talks about it because they know the importance of volume data to analyze the option chain analysis.

Option chain volume analysis

  1. Retail traders don't understand the importance of volume in option chain analysis because there is no information available.
  2. Low volume with high open interest indicates the professional trader's position
  3. High volume with low open interest shows the retail investors positions
  4. The reason for low volume and high open interest is due to the large order position by professional traders.
  5. They buy or sell their orders with minimum no of trades but in large quantities from retail investors
  6. But retail investors buy or sell their orders in small quantities causing large volume instead of open interest.
  7. Professional traders sell their options when the price reaches a certain level they already placed their order in the system for the day
  8. Professional traders start to accumulating options from the retail traders when all are bullish on the market and the market is making new highs.

  1.  In option chain analysis On-call side if the volume is low open interest increases unusually high and the price is decreasing implied volatility is high from the previous day professional traders are bearish in the market 
  2. Professional traders are writing the call options and retail traders are selling the call options

  1.  In option chain analysis On Put side if the volume is low open interest increases unusually high and the price is increasing implied volatility is low from the previous day professional traders are bearish in the market
  2. Professional traders are buying the put options and retail traders are selling the put options.

  1. If these parameters are justified in your analysis then the market will move down 

  1.  In option chain analysis On-call side if the volume is low open interest increases unusually high and the price is increasing implied volatility is low from the previous day
  2. Professional traders are bullish in the market they are buying the call options and retail traders are selling the call options

  1.  In option chain analysis On Put side if the volume is low open interest increases unusually high and the price is Decreasing implied volatility is high from the previous day professional traders are bullish in the market they are selling the put options and retail traders are buying the put options.
  1. If these parameters are justified in your analysis then the market will move up.
  2. Volume data is always relative to its previous day volume
  3. If you record and compare the previous 5 days volume data it is easily identified today volume is high - low or average.
  4. Comparing this data you will easily find out professional traders are bullish or bearish on the market

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27 Comments

  1. सय ये कैसे पता करें कि smart money future में काम कर रहा है या options मे

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  2. We have a blog on fii-dii-client-pro derivatives open interest excel sheet you can analyze the data and identify the market direction.

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  3. Sir standard rule ke alawa option me fresh long aur short ban rhi h ye kaise pta lagaye

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  4. Sir please write a blog on how to play expiry

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you have 1cr you can play expiry otherwise don't try to make money fast.

      Delete
  5. Good article but I have a question.
    What is the value in column VOLUME in option chain!
    Is it number of quantity of lot or total unique trade executed today .. or else ?

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    Replies
    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    2. So does it mean that if a big player buys 100 lots of Nifty which means 7500 quantities will appear on "Change in OI" but 1 will appear in "VOLUME" column.And that is why we say that when big player involve then the change in OI is higher and volume will be low because they are buying huge quantities/OI under each transaction/trade/volume. ?

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  6. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  7. On NSE website, there is a file/report called "Participant wise Open Interest".

    I want to know how data is stored in this file. I am assuming that all the columns has number of "LOT" information and not OI. !. Because if I open this file for 3-Apr-2020 then I see that on "Future Index Long" column against FII the value is 38518 and this can't be number of contracts/quantities because this is not divisible by 75 so in my opinion this is something else.

    Could you please suggest what is that.?

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  8. Information on the file is very important. Information in the file provides the total outstanding position of different Client types.File contain position of both nifty and bank nifty so the division is not possible.It is open interest data of different clients.

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  9. One lot of Nifty has 75 quantities and one lot of Bank nifty has 20 quantities so if there is only two lots for each then the OI becomes 75 + 20 = 95 and in my opinion this number should be divisible by 5 no matter how many lots are there for Nifty or Bank nifty and the number which I had provided in above comment was 38518 and neither this is divisible by 75 nor by 5 so I am still not sure how do I understand this numbers. !!

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    Replies
    1. It is no of contracts 75 is consider as one contracts. Check FII derivatives statistics file in nse website. It mentioned as no of contracts

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  10. Many thanks.

    Why I was confused because most the Guru's on youtube are saying that one lot of Nifty has 75 contracts but you are saying that one lot of any underlying means 1 contract and definitely I want to follow your suggestion.
    But is there any other way by which I can confirm whether one lot of Nifty has 1 contract or 75 contracts !.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Check this link 1 contract note has 40 units earlier in bank nifty. now it is 20
      https://www1.nseindia.com/products/content/derivatives/equities/bank_nifty_optspecs.htm

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    2. Many Thanks. Your knowledge appears to be supreme.

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    3. No We are still learning. If you have any other question we will write a blog it will help you other retail investors. Because the problem is same for all retail investors.

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    4. Thanks.

      I want to learn more about "Participant wise open interest" file.
      Could you please direct me to any post which you had published.!

      Delete
  11. In option chain there is a column "VOLUME". I am guessing that it reports intraday and non-intraday trading volume of the day after market closure !.

    Is this correct. ?

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    Replies
    1. If there is any volume after market closure it will be small. You can check data at 3:35 and after 6:0 PM to check the changes. If large trades happens after market - it will be not fair game for all.

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    2. 1. How is it possible to still trade in options around 6:00 PM, do you mean people trading on SGX and that is reflecting here ?.
      2. Original question: this volume is combination of intraday and non-intraday trading activities. ?

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    3. Positions closed by brokers after 3:30 are updated.
      Volume is intraday

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  12. If big players want to show that Nifty is stable or going up then to do that they can perform below activities:
    1. Buy few heavy weight stocks of underlying index on cash segment.
    2. Buy Nify's future.
    3. Buy stocks futures of Nifty 50 index.

    Any other activities?

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  13. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  14. But how to find volume data? Open interest data is shared on this site but don't know where to find volume data. Please clarify the doubt.

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Thank you for your valuable comment